The belief amongst fantasy and NFL Draft analysts is that the 2019 rookie class is loaded with talent. This article will compare the production, athleticism, and narrative surrounding Michel and CEH to examine if recency bias fueled the values behind both players in rookie drafts. This is a vast improvement for the Tampa Bay running back in 2020. Dear Dynasty, After a slow start to the 2019 season, Sony Michel has put up respectable numbers the past few weeks. For running backs, it’s not something that happens all too often. Athleticism is important when building predictive models for RBs. Ronald Jones and Sony Michel have owners reeling! I wouldn’t give anything higher than a mid-second in non-Superflex leagues, but you might be able to get him for a 2021 2nd as a contender. Lights, camera, action @DynastyPrice @DynastyRich @DynastyPrice and @JaredWackerlyFF #nerdherd, @DynastyNerds I was offered Adam Gase straight up for CMC, thoughts? Michel and CEH’s overall career workloads are strikingly similar because both players only had one season with over 200 rush attempts. Of these 13 running backs, only 3 had less than 45 targets in 2019 (Jacobs, Mack, and Montgomery). They did this behind dominant offensive lines and in the SEC. CEH played in one of the most explosive passing offenses in NCAA history. @Josh_ff tells you what to do with these two backs! CEH flashed all over the field for 55 catches and 453 receiving yards while Sony had two seasons with over 20 catches. User account menu. He didn’t demonstrate route-running ability in college. As of the writing of this article, the quarterback room in New England is blurry. Include: Movie Dynasty League, 2020-10-29. Before I go any further, it should be noted that Sony Michel and CEH played in two very different offenses. ▫️Contender/Rebuild/Tweener CEH was clocked at 4.47-sec. Please enjoy this free preview of Factory Sports dynasty football content. These stats over an entire season made Ronald Jones less relevant than Brandon Bolden. First, let’s compare the production profiles of CEH and Sony Michel. While he played 16 games, his knee concerns cannot be forgotten, and Belichick has no issues moving away from someone who’s disappointed. Damien Harris: Forgotten Man. Stat nerds, film grinders, and the entire NFL community will come together to salivate over rookie measurables and their athletic testing. Thanks to ESPN.com, I was able to find high school athleticism testing for both Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Sony Michel. Banjo Fett traded: RB Sony Michel, NEP WR Justin Watson, TBB. Are fantasy owners about to make the same mistake and let the CEH fever inflate his value in rookie drafts? Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. There is one major difference between CEH and Michel’s receiving abilities. CEH only had one other season in which he had close to 150 rush attempts. Michel ran a 4.46-sec. by. Log in sign up. As a Patriots fan, this feels terrible to say, but if I could sell Sony for Ronald Jones + anything, I’d do it. 2020 Dynasty Nerds Writer’s Hot Takes! Ronald Jones and Sony Michel have owners reeling! Owners of Ronald Jones and Sony Michel were hoping for more when they drafted them. Those assumptions come a little easier after amassing over 200 total yards against Oklahoma on national television. In 2014, Michel was 5’11” and weighed 194 pounds. This could be the landing spot for the likes of Zack Moss, but if he’s not there, the running back landscape turns into satellite backs with pass-catching upside. Try to sell other managers on the fact the Patriots will move to a run-first offense. Lastly, CEH was dominant for an entire season running and catching the ball for LSU. Neither of these backs are known for their pass-catching prowess, and both will likely have some company in the backfield in 2020. For running backs, it’s not something that happens all too often. CEH was also slightly more efficient than his teammates at his peak compared to Sony Michel. One player fantasy managers have had a fever for lately is Clyde Edwards-Helaire (CEH), running back (RB), LSU. Dynasty Third Year Running Backs – Frustrated Owners. RB Sony Michel, NEP RB Devin Singletary, BUF TE Robert Tonyan, GBP 2021 R3 draft pick, 2021 R4 draft pick. On the other side, Michel is locked into an offense surrounded by questions. With Cam Newton and Jameis Winston unsigned, the Patriots continue to roll with Jarrett Stidham and Brian Hoyer. There are minor differences in their production as well. Jones was an early second-round pick, while Sims was an early third-round pick. Should fantasy players have shown restraint and cautioned themselves against recency bias with Sony Michel? All posts tagged "sony michel" Dynasty / 1 month ago. Both backs are running out of time in their 2-3 years window, so 2020 is the big year for their value. The question surrounds the capital they’ll be using on this running back. Vote: What was the biggest play of the Patriots’ 26-10 loss against the Chiefs. Your email address will not be sold or shared with anyone else. In Michel’s breakout season, he caught 13.1% of his team’s receptions and CEH secured 12.9% of LSU’s team receptions. From a pure athletic testing point of view, CEH was superior in straight-line speed. The loss of Tom Brady will lead to regression for the offense, and they’ll likely finish in the bottom half of the league in touchdowns. I’m not sure this question can be answered without being soaked in my own confirmation bias. Athleticism is important when building predictive models for RBs, In 2014, Michel was 5’11” and weighed 194 pounds. After seeing Winston give the ball away at a record-setting pace, Bruce Arians wanted a quarterback with better decision making. Anyone who says otherwise is off their rocker. Stat nerds, film grinders, and the entire NFL community will come together to salivate over rookie measurables and their athletic testing. The perceived receiving ability is what really generated the fever around Sony Michel and CEH. Kiszla: Best outcome for Broncos in New England? Josh McDonough; April 14, 2020 “Third Year Breakout” is a term that goes hand-in-hand with wide receivers and tight ends. Both players are viewed as elusive in space and their ability to make defenders miss. Archived. in the short shuttle, and had a Vertical Jump of 39.8”, further solidifying the belief that he is a dynamic player. Many are viewing this offense as a run-first offense going into the season. The fact CEH only put up the incredible raw stats that he did in his final season is a concern for me. If CEH had put up the stats he did at the age of 21 or 22, I would be a little more worried though. CEH displayed the ability to catch the ball out of the backfield, from the slot, and was flexed out as a wide receiver in 2019. Should we buy either, and at what cost? Michel had two additional seasons with over 150 rush attempts. Sony Michel had 218 rush attempts for 45% of Georgia’s team rush attempts, 1,136 yards, and 8 touchdowns in 2015. Mythbusters: Is Sony Michel the Patriots Running Back to own? It could be argued, Leonard Fournette is an example that a lack of route running in college does not necessarily mean a player won’t catch the ball in the NFL, an argument couldn’t be made at the time because he wasn’t catching the ball for the Jaguars yet. Additionally, CEH had 42 kick returns during his three years at LSU, further solidifying the belief that he is a dynamic player. In 2017, CEH was 5’8” and 201 pounds. There was hope around the NFL that Sony could get involved in the passing game, but he accumulated only 20 targets in the regular season, which he turned into 12 catches for less than 100 yards. Please join me, @ff_spaceman on Twitter, in my quest into unexplored spreadsheets and dynasty football analysis. How spicy do you like your hot takes? Tom Brady, in recent years, has targeted the running back at an insane pace. If CEH had put up the stats he did at the age of 21 or 22, I would be a little more worried though. However, it’s safe to say that the story behind Michel being a dynamic pass catcher was most likely fueled by his exciting performances in the College Football Playoffs. First, the quality of Michel’s teammates was considered when looking at the lack of a workhorse load at Georgia. Running backs are capable of coming into the league as a rookie, and making an impact for their team immediately. The excitement of the NFL Combine is less than a week away. Georgia was a high volume, running offense throughout Michel’s career. Michel was Dynasty League Football’s (DLF) third player overall in rookie average draft position (ADP) in February of 2018. Despite the many similarities, there are a few differences in how CEH and Sony Michel were perceived by the football community. In 2010, the Colts finished as the 5th highest-scoring offense. If you are not already a Factory Sports member, you can sign up right here. They finished the season at 21, 22, and 24, respectively, and none had the competition in the backfield that Sony will have in 2020. CEH rushed 215 times for 42% of LSU’s team rush attempts, 1,414 yards, and 16 touchdowns during his 2019 breakout season. His weight-adjusted speed score was 100.69. The fact CEH only put up the incredible raw stats that he did in his final season is a concern for me. Regardless, while there are a lot of similarities between Michel and CEH, I do not believe the Clyde Edwards-Helaire fever is leading the fantasy community to overvalue him in rookie drafts at this moment in time. He wasn’t even mentioned in NFL or fantasy mock drafts prior to the College Football Playoffs. The Sony Michel fever heavily relied on his performance in the final two games of 2017. 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